Happily Retired

There are some people who think of retirement as a destination. The reality is that it should be seen as a launch pad. You will have laboured all your life to put yourself in a position of financial independence, often having to look after a number of people who will have been dependent on you along the way. This is the time of your life when you should be doing what you want to do. For some people this means foreign travel, spoiling grandchildren or devoting more time to that hobby that was neglected because of the time pressures of your working life.

Having earned this freedom however it is vital that you make sure that you protect it. It is essential that you have a properly co-ordinated and managed financial plan. Ask yourself these questions.

If you cannot answer these with a fair degree of certainty then you need a financial plan.

Below is an example model showing someone who was on target to run out of money but slight tweaking enables the protection of their position. We can show you any number of models that show clients in a vulnerable position because they don’t have enough or their portfolio has too much risk. Most of our clients however are either just about on target or they will have too much, which presents other opportunities to them.

Unfortunately the reality for most people is that they simply do not know. This uncertainty causes anxiety and stress. Let us build your plan and hopefully provide you with the most valuable thing in the world – peace of mind.

Example Model

information

The details of the client and the basic assumptions being used for inflation, interest, and model end date.

Title Dr.
Name Happily Retired
Date of Birth 10/02/1940
Retirement Age 65
Current Age 64
Assumptions  
Inflation Rate 2.5%
Growth Rate 4%
Model End Date February 2040
information information

The table gives a brief description of each event e.g. retirement expenditure. It then shows the cumulative total of each event that will be received between now and the model end date. Some people will find it surprising just how large these figures will be and begin to realise the need for planning. The table then goes on to show the year by year breakdown and totals.

It is interesting to note that the client wants an income of £2,500 per month increasing by inflation to protect the value in real terms. A significant part of the income however, is a level annuity that will not increase. This means that more and more money will be taken from the Investment Portfolio to fund the gap. The results of this are shown in the Planning Forecast.

Incomings Outgoings
Description Occupational Pension Annuity State Pension Investment portfolio Annual Totals Retirement Expenditure
Cumulative Total 548195.00 215500 178163.37 245000   -1713109.37
2004 7200 4500 2340 245000 259040 -22500
2005 9780 6000 3178.5   18958.5 -30562.5
2006 10024.5 6000 3257.96   19282.46 -31326.56
2007 10275.11 6000 3339.41   19614.52 -32109.73
2008 10531.99 6000 3422.90   19954.89 -32912.47
2009 10795.29 6000 3508.47   20303.76 -33735.28
2010 11065.17 6000 3596.18   20661.35 -34578.66
2011 11341.80 6000 3686.09   21027.89 -35443.13
2012 11625.35 6000 3778.24   21403.58 -36329.21
2013 11915.98 6000 3872.69   21788.67 -37237.44
2014 12213.88 6000 3969.51   22183.39 -38168.37
2015 12519.23 6000 4068.75   22587.98 -39122.58
2016 12832.21 6000 4170.47   23002.67 -40100.65
2017 13153.01 6000 4274.73   23427.74 -41103.16
2018 13481.84 6000 4381.60   23863.44 -42130.74
2019 13818.88 6000 4491.14   24310.02 -43184.01
2020 14164.36 6000 4603.42   24767.77 -44263.61
2021 14518.46 6000 4718.50   25236.97 -45370.20
2022 14881.43 6000 4836.46   25717.89 -46504.46
2023 15253.46 6000 4957.38   26210.84 -47667.07
2024 15634.80 6000 5081.31   26716.11 -48858.75
2025 16025.67 6000 5208.34   27234.01 -50080.21
2026 16426.31 6000 5338.55   27764.86 -51332.22
2027 16836.97 6000 5472.01   28308.98 -52615.53
2028 17257.89 6000 5608.82   28866.71 -53930.91
2029 17689.34 6000 5749.04   29438.38 -55279.19
2030 18131.57 6000 5892.76   30024.33 -56661.17
2031 18584.86 6000 6040.08   30624.94 -58077.70
2032 19049.48 6000 6191.08   31240.57 -59529.64
2033 19525.72 6000 6345.86   31871.58 -61017.88
2034 20013.86 6000 6504.51   32518.37 -62543.33
2035 20514.21 6000 6667.12   33181.33 -64106.91
2036 21027.07 6000 6833.80   33860.86 -65709.58
2037 21552.74 6000 7004.64   34557.38 -67352.32
2038 22091.56 6000 7179.76   35271.32 -69036.13
2039 22643.85 6000 7359.25   36003.10 -70762.03
2040 3797.13 1000 1234.07   6031.20 -11866.03
information information

The spreadsheet enables us to work with the client to identify these vulnerabilities and work out why they occur. The view here shows that the difference between the client's expenditure (outflow) and their income (inflow) is around £12000.00 in the early years and this is more than the growth they are receiving on their investment portfolio. This means the value of their portfolio will go into decline as you can see by looking at the starting fund column.

As the spreasheet progresses the gap between the inflow and the ouflow widens because not all of the income making up the inflow increases. This increases the rate at which the investment portfolio is depleted.

The current strategy that the client is deploying shows them on target to run out of money at age 86.

This model gives us, as planners, a context within which to design a strategy for the client and more importantly gives them a context for making decisions.

The options for this client are as follows:

  • To continue with their current strategy and see their income almost halve when the investment portfolio runs out at age 86.
  • To try and achieve a net growth rate of just under 8%, which would be a very risky strategy and could result in a considerable worsening of the client's position.
  • To reduce their current expenditure by £400 per month.

The reality is that it is likely to be a combination of these options depending upon the client's view about leaving assests to their children.

Year Starting Fund Incomings Outgoings Growth End Fund Today's Value
2004 (64) 0.00 259,040.00 -22,500.00 6,495.09 243,035.09 243,035.09
2005 (65) 243,035.09 18,958.50 -30,562.50 9,257.24 240,688.34 234,817.89
2006 (66) 240,688.34 19,282.46 -31,326.56 9,145.77 237,790.01 226,331.95
2007 (67) 237,790.01 19,614.52 -32,109.73 9,011.79 234,306.60 217,576.97
2008 (68) 234,306.60 19,954.89 -32,912.47 8,853.96 230,202.97 208,552.53
2009 (69) 230,202.97 20,303.76 -33,735.28 8,670.86 225,442.31 199,258.15
2010 (70) 225,442.31 20,661.35 -34,578.66 8,461.00 219,986.00 189,693.24
2011 (71) 219,986.00 21,027.89 -35,443.13 8,222.83 213,793.59 179,857.11
2012 (72) 213,793.59 21,403.58 -36,329.21 7,954.72 206,822.68 169,749.01
2013 (73) 206,822.68 21,788.67 -37,237.44 7,654.96 199,028.87 159,368.06
2014 (74) 199,028.87 22,183.39 -38,168.37 7,321.76 190,365.65 148,713.34
2015 (75) 190,365.65 22,587.98 -39,122.58 6,953.24 180,784.28 137,783.79
2016 (76) 180,784.28 23,002.67 -40,100.65 6,547.45 170,233.76 126,578.31
2017 (77) 170,233.76 23,427.74 -41,103.16 6,102.33 158,660.67 115,095.68
2018 (78) 158,660.67 23,863.44 -42,130.74 5,615.73 146,009.09 103,334.61
2019 (79) 146,009.09 24,310.02 -43,184.01 5,085.40 132,220.51 91,293.71
2020 (80) 132,220.51 24,767.77 -44,263.61 4,508.99 117,233.65 78,971.51
2021 (81) 117,233.65 25,236.97 -45,370.20 3,884.02 100,984.43 66,366.47
2022 (82) 100,984.43 25,717.89 -46,504.46 3,207.91 83,405.78 53,476.94
2023 (83) 83,405.78 26,210.84 -47,667.07 2,477.98 64,427.53 40,301.20
2024 (84) 64,427.53 26,716.11 -48,858.75 1,691.40 43,976.29 26,837.45
2025 (85) 43,976.29 27,234.01 -50,080.21 845.20 21,975.29 13,083.78
2026 (86) 21,975.29 27,764.86 -51,332.22 -63.68 -1,655.76 -961.77
2027 (87) -1,655.76 28,308.98 -52,615.53 -1,038.49 -27,000.79 -15,301.27
2028 (88) -27,000.79 28,866.71 -53,930.91 -2,082.60 -54,147.60 -29,936.87
2029 (89) -54,147.60 29,438.38 -55,279.19 -3,199.54 -83,187.94 -44,870.79
2030 (90) -83,187.94 30,024.33 -56,661.17 -4,392.99 -114,217.77 -60,105.36
2031 (91) -114,217.77 30,624.94 -58,077.70 -5,666.82 -147,337.34 -75,642.95
2032 (92) -147,337.34 31,240.57 -59,529.64 -7,025.06 -182,651.47 -91,486.06
2033 (93) -182,651.47 31,871.58 -61,017.88 -8,471.91 -220,269.68 -107,637.26
2034 (94) -220,269.68 32,518.37 -62,543.33 -10,011.79 -260,306.42 -124,099.18
2035 (95) -260,306.42 33,181.33 -64,106.91 -11,649.28 -302,881.28 -140,874.57
2036 (96) -302,881.28 33,860.86 -65,709.58 -13,389.20 -348,119.20 -157,966.24
2037 (97) -348,119.20 34,557.38 -67,352.32 -15,236.57 -396,150.70 -175,377.09
2038 (98) -396,150.70 35,271.32 -69,036.13 -17,196.62 -447,112.13 -193,110.12
2039 (99) -447,112.13 36,003.10 -70,762.03 -19,274.84 -501,145.90 -211,168.38
2040 (100) -501,145.90 6,031.20 -11,866.03 -20,279.23 -527,259.97 -216,753.26
Wealth Accumulator > Wealth Preserver > Happily Retired